I Market Review
Beijing:
The market is semi-closed. The market quotation is different and the
transaction is sparse. At present, the downstream enterprises have not
completely resumed work or production and the transportation is limited.
HBIS Group large-sized rebar is priced at 3,350-3,400 yuan per ton and
small-sized rebar is priced at 3,450-3,500 yuan per ton. Coiled rebar
price is 3,480-3,500 yuan per ton. The inventory continues to increase
and attains around 0.85 million tons. For some enterprises, the
inventory has approached to its upper limit.
Tianjin:
Construction steel fell at first then rose in this week. The price
cumulatively decreased by 30 yuan per ton. At present, large-sized rebar
is priced at 3,380-3,420 yuan per ton and the transaction has not
recovered yet. Downstream enterprises have not completely resumed
production. The inventory has increased to more than 0.3 million tons.
CR steel greatly declined. CRC price dropped by 170 yuan per ton. At
present, 1.2mm CRC is priced at 3,980-4,040 yuan per ton. 3.0mm pickled
coil price is 3,830-3,870 yuan per ton. The transaction is generally
sparse. Base price of Tianjin common carbon HRC is priced at 3,350-3,370
yuan per ton. HRC inventory in Tianjin market increased to 56,100 tons
to 181,000 tons.
Handan:
Medium plate price dropped at first then increased. The medium plate
price has cumulatively increased by 10-20 yuan per ton. The transaction
gradually recovers in this week. Market inventory and inventory in steel
mills continued to increase. At present, medium plate inventory in
Handan market is nearly 0.8 million tons and that of coil exceeds 0.3
million tons. As for steel mills, ex-work price of steel mills
moderately inclined on Thursday. Ex-work price of Puyang Steel is locked
at 3,390 yuan per ton and Jinding Steel is 3,350 yuan per ton.
Tangshan:
Construction steel price cumulatively decreased by 30 yuan per ton.
Grade III large-sized rebar is priced at 3,280 yuan per ton in main
markets. Traders mainly focus on selling. Tangshan Flat steel
transaction is improved in this week, among which transaction status is
different in regions. Some rolling enterprises announced to resume
production on February 24, 2020. Section steel is priced at 3,380-3,400
yuan per ton and strip steel price is 3,170-3,230 yuan per ton.
Shanxi:
Construction steel price stabilized except for 100 yuan per ton decline
in Shougang Changzhi Steel. Grade III large-sized rebar is priced at
3,450 yuan per ton. The transaction is weak and only some key projects
resume work. As for flat steel, medium plate price is 3,600 yuan per ton
and coil price is 3,530 yuan per ton with sparse transaction.
Shenyang:
Market price mainly stabilized. Large-sized rebar is priced at 3,350
yuan per ton and coiled rebar is priced at 3,450 yuan per ton. The
inventory greatly increased after Chinese New Year. Construction steel
inventory inclines by 126,500 tons to 553,000 tons in Shenyang, up
245,000 tons year on year. Most traders are pessimistic about the market
development.
Changchun:
Construction steel transaction is sparse. Large-sized rebar price is
3,330-3,350 yuan per ton. HRC price cumulatively increased by 20 yuan
per ton. Tonghua Steel 3.75-9.75*1500mm HRC is 3,320-3,330 yuan per ton.
Market price decreased in early week and the transaction is sparse, the
price greatly increased stimulated by futures price and inclined price
in Shenayng market on Thursday. The transaction is improved. At present,
the delivery of products on Tonghua Steel is basically normal and market
confidence gradually recovers.
Harbin:
Construction price is not quoted because of the post-settlement price
policy from 15, March. Flat steel priced fell at first then stabilized
in this week. Base price of 5.75mm common steel is priced at 3,400-3,450
yuan per ton. Traders have not returned to work and the transaction is
sparse. Harbin city is announced to be shut down on February 19, 2020.
In this week, ex-work price of Shougang Changzhi Steel cumulatively
decreased by 100 yuan per ton. Ex-work price of Shanxi Steel stabilized.
Medium and heavy plate price of Puyang Steel cumulatively increased by
40 yuan per ton and Jingye Steel raised by 10 yuan per ton; Jinding
Steel cumulatively inclined by 50 yuan per ton. Construction steel of
Lingyuan Steel cumulatively declined by 20 yuan per ton.
Inventory:
Construction steel inventory continued to increase and flat steel
inventory moderately incline except for Tianjin and Shenyang markets.
Due to the transportation limitation, inventory in steel mills in North
China (vehicle transportation) continues to increase and HRC inventory
in Northeast China decreases.
Maintenance Information:
Two blast furnaces (Tangshan Qianan rolling enterprise) stopped
production on February 14, 2020 and one 1250mm HRC production line
stopped production on February 15 and HRC output is reduced by 4,000
tons per day. 2# blast furnace (2000m³) of HBIS Group Tang steel stopped
production from February 19, 2020 and hot metal output deceases by
around 5,000 tons per day. 1 blast furnace of Shanxi Hongda Steel is
maintained for 34 days from February 20, 2020 and hot metal output
decreases by 1,900 tons per day. Three blast furnaces (480m³, 660m³ and
1260m³) of Jilin Xinda Steel are maintained in turn and the maintenance
is expected to be finished on March 17, 2020. The hot metal output
reduces by 1,600 tons per day, 2,300 tons per day and 3,800 tons per day
separately. At present, one wire rod production line and one H beam
production line continues to be maintained, then wire rod output reduces
by 1,500 tons per day and H beam output reduces by 2,000 tons per day.
3# 3200m³ blast furnace of HBIS Group Tangsteel was maintained from
February 11, 2020 and resumed production on February 14, then hot metal
output is around 8,000 tons per day. One cold rolling continuous
annealing line of Ansteel Tiantie and one hot-dipped galvanized steel
production line resumed production on February 17, 2020 (except cold
rolling continuous annealing line). The CRC output is estimated to
increase by around 2,000 tons per day and galvanized steel output rose
by around 1,100 tons per day.
II Trading Tip
Traders are suggested to replenish the inventory as market price has
decreased by 100-300 yuan per ton compared to the price before Chinese
New Year. Steel mills are supposed to actively maintain the equipment to
avoid the sharp increase of finished products inventory and to ease raw
material procurement pressure. |